Free Betting Advice – Bookmakers and Secrets – Basics

Bookmaker Management

The vast majority of you likely think of the bookmakers as the old enemy, cash thief, the Devil himself even!!

If you do, it follows that your likely one of the many millions of folk giving them cash, and getting little back. This is negative thinking, and any negative thinking in gambling leads to your demise.

So what can you do about it, and what difference does it make what you think of your bookmaker?

Well all my bookmakers are my friend; in reality somebody who gives me cash is a friend. Wouldn’t that be the same for you? As soon as you believe that the bookie is the kind man who supplies you with cash for a Saturday night out, or that latest kitchen appliance, then you’re on the road to improving your returns already.

Most gamblers think you can win thousands a day, and purchase a boat one week, and a new vehicle the next when you’re a pro, but you are dreaming, it takes hours of work to create a decent profit every month.

If you additionally think your friendly bookmaker will happily hand over thousands a day too you, guess what? You’ve got to be kidding. If you run a business, and you are giving the same customer cash every day for nothing, would you still do business with him? Sure you wouldn’t.

If you keep attempting to bankrupt a bookmaker, he will show you the respect you deserve for your approach, and shut your account. This is not bad nasty bookmaker, but common sense, he is attempting to run a business, and make a profit.

Now if you know you are likely to make money, and the bookmaker knows you are going to make money, you have too keep to an acceptable each week, and then he’ll be able to lay off your bets, and he will furthermore accept that the bets you put on are in addition supplying him with good info. This way you can have a decent association, although they could still limit your maximum bet. However, this method will not work with the Big 3 bookies, as they do not wish for any winners.

If working at home, you will need to plan your betting like a military mission for each bet, and spread it all around various bookies.

If you want to bet thousands, then the only answer is to do battle on the track, or on a betting exchange, and as soon as your making this much, you still have to use the same theory as above.

On Course Secrets

Just a quick tip, but one which ought to help you find extra winners while on the racecourse.

Before racing begins, hang around the bookies looking for any punters placing a nice wad of cash on a horse. If he/she is wearing a suit, it’s probably best ignoring them, as these are corporate men trying to impress their clients or boss, and likely don’t have a clue which end the head is on.

If they look like ordinary Joe Punter, but are betting big, they may be a pro. You are probably best keeping an eye on them for the first few races to make sure they do know what they are doing, and keep an eye on more than one, as professional gamblers are pretty rare.

Watch which racehorses they gamble on, and watch the race. If that horse wins, or runs well, watch to see which horse they bet on next. Again, watch the race, and the next one. After that, if you consider this person to have good expertise, you can follow what he does for the remainder of the day.

We don’t mind folk doing that, as we can’t hide from view what we do, although a few will get piddled off with being stalked! Don’t follow in our shadow though, as you will get a number of choice words, as you wouldn’t like being tailed by a strange looking person would you?

You can make contact with pros on the track, although they might not give you the days selections, the majority will offer you advice, and a number of pointers for the future.

Betting Advice – Horse Racing Dutching, Hedging, Arbs – Basics

Most gamblers appear to be aware of only win bets, and the other oddities such Placepots, forecasts, tricasts, multiple bets (these increase the bookies profits, why do you think they advertise them so much?), etc. Thanks to the betting exchanges, new gamblers now know about laying horses, but a lot of other forms of making a profit exist when it comes to horse racing, and three are briefly outlined below.

Dutching

This method has been available for donkey’s years, and was used with standard bookmakers, it is not betting exchange exclusive, but they do enhance your returns, and we nowadays have a number of betting bots to aid with this type of gambling.

Dutching is simply backing more than one horse in a race. Some punters think this means your are backing not in favor of yourself, that is a negative thought, get rid of it, only conclusive thinking is acceptable in pro gambling.

If we have a 16 runner race, and somebody said you can select one horse at 8/1 and have #100 on it, or bet half the field at 1/1 for #100, what would you do? If you had good quality info on the 8/1 shot then go in favor of it, but if you do not, cover your back and go for half the field, that way you can get paid if any of the 8 selections you have made win.

I am aware of professionals that just use dutching for their gambling, it can be extremely profitable, but like everything else, it is an added weapon in my own armoury. You additionally need to put a lot of research in, as with all gambling that involves selections, using a pin to select half the field will not be profitable long term. Dutch betting on the betting exchanges can result in a 300% higher than SP (Starting Price).

Hedging

This is basically comparable to trading, the same betting theory, lay low, back high, but with a twist.

You lay the horse ahead of racing, and then wait until the horses are Off, as in in-running on the betting exchanges. You instantly enter a bet to buy that bet back at higher odds, as more often than not, a horses price will drift during the race. Try to stay away from front runners, odds on runners and sprints. Again, it is better to use a betting bot as it is much quicker at firing in the bets.

Arbing

This type of betting is technically zero risk, but that is not quite correct, so do not believe the rubbish others tell you.

The procedure mean that you study ALL the markets across a variety of betting exchanges and bookmakers, and yes, it does consist of 1000’s of events. You are researching for events were you back a price with a bookie, and then lay it off at a lesser price with the betting exchanges.

These days though, the distance between bookmakers and exchanges is getting ever nearer, and with the high number of arbing betting bots available, there are not as many opportunities as their used to be, but still 1000’s appear each week if you know where to look. It does mean you require accounts with all the betting exchanges and bookies though, and more than #1000 in each to make it worth the time. You additionally need to remember a lot of others are doing it so gaps in the market do not persist long.

Free Betting Advice – Festivals and Additional Tips – Basics

Horse Racing Festivals and Busy Racing Days

I’ve just recently researched this myself, as the BHA (British Horseracing Authority) have been messing around with the racing calendar over the previous few years, and so we currently have more racing than ever. This can cause problems on days were there is a load of racing, especially if you utilize a fixed stake adjusted on a daily basis. They have additionally been manipulating Handicap races in the bookies favour reducing the average strike rate by 2%-3% over the past few years.

I take a standard day as 1-4 meetings, and from 2004 summer racing now includes mostly 3 afternoon meetings, and 3 evening meetings. This is basically 2 days racing in one, and it is recommended you adjust the daily stake when the afternoon meetings have ended if time allows. With more AW (All weather) tracks than ever, we are in addition getting additional fixtures in the winter evenings.

Bank holidays will not be as crowded according to the BHA as in the past when you could have 16 fixtures, but the OFT (Office of Fair Trading) has since altered this. Still a bank holiday may possibly contain over 10 fixtures, and so is technically 2-4 racing days in one! In this situation if it makes you feel more comfortable reduce your stakes by up to 50%, win and lay. You might think you will miss out on potential profit, this is greed, remember patience and security is what makes a professional gambler. If you reduce the stakes, it protects you if it all goes pear-shaped on the day. I may well also reduce stakes in the course of sudden changes in going on any racing day, especially during a storm if the ground jumps from Good straight to Soft/Heavy.

Festivals are comparable to the above in that the competition is always much hotter than average, and is not a standard daily betting environment. So meetings such as Royal Ascot, Cheltenham Festival, Aintree Grand National meetings, are best if you lower your stakes.

Additional Betting Tips

It’s best to hold more than one bookmaker/exchange account so you can compare odds.

The Scoop 6 is worth bearing in mind once it is over �50,000, as it is not always won by the pro-syndicates.

If you have any doubt about a method bet, don’t put money on, you’ll have another prospect soon.

If you do realize you are losing, and have almost lost the betting bank, discontinue betting and re-adjust everything. You ought to never lose the betting bank if you have the maths correct.

Generally speaking, your initial year at being a professional gambler will be hit and miss as you discover your feet, but you will then have goals and an adequate amount of experience to progress further the following year. It took me in the region of 3 years to get into top gear, but back in the late 90’s we did not have the instantaneous information we do now.

Feel free to broadcast your own tips, systems, and advice on my forum, this additionally helps you to correct errors earlier so you don’t look like a complete fool, and will not only help yourself in the long term, but others as well.

Never over bet on the betting exchanges when laying. By that I mean don’t offer 7/1 for a 4/1 shot, 2/1 for an evens, etc, You should in no way really bet over the odds of more than 15%, but your best trying to keep it to 20% or less. This doesn’t have to be strict, as long as the 10% on some and 20% on others average out. To simplify things, it’s best to never to lay over odds of 10.5.

Sports Betting Systems and the Psychology of a Winning Sports Bettor

If I had a nickel for every forum title I read that started out something like “Can you really make money betting sports?” I would be the richest man on the planet. Fact: If every bettor lost all the time there would be no sports betting market. It is that simple. I am a winning bettor. I don’t have to pick the paper up anymore and study statistics all day. It took some hard work to achieve this status. If you are tired of losing money and want to start making profits, keep reading.

Let me provide you with some basic statistics for the sake of the discussion. There are over 6 billion people in the world. Lets say only 3 billion are adults. Of those adults, only 10 percent bet on sports. That is 3 million people that bet sports. Of those 3 million people, only 2 percent actually make a living betting sports. The other 98 percent lose money. That leaves 60,000 people in the world who profit from betting sports for a living! These numbers are extremely conservative; it is estimated that over 200 million people ALONE will bet on the Superbowl in a given year. Not only is it possible to make a living betting sports, it happens every minute of everyday to real people just like you.

I have identified three crucial issues that keep amateur sports bettors from turning professional and turning profits in their sports betting careers.

1. The single biggest problem with those who lose money betting sports is a lack of discipline.

2. The second biggest problem is non-application of any substantial sports betting systems to keep you consistent and on target.

3. The third issue is thinking like the typical square bettor and not like the bookmaker.

I will address all of these fundamental betting flaws and give you a glimpse on how a winning sports bettor thinks and acts.

One of the best ways to lose your shirt over the long run is bet chasing. Scenario: You thought you had the lock of the century last evening with the first game. You lost that bet on some unbelievable nonsense, maybe a back door cover in a game that was long over for both teams. You got angry, saw the next game of the night coming up and impulsively doubled your bet for game two to cover your losses from game one. Then, since you had no real system in place to keep you in check, that game ends up a loser as well and you are now down big. Everyone has done this, and I am no exception. This is the lack of discipline I am talking about. You will lose some nights, just like your 401k will lose value some days. It comes with the territory. Bet just that one game and if it loses, cut your losses there and tomorrow is a new day.

There are tons of sports betting systems that exist, but some are very good if you have the discipline to follow them verbatim. Most sports bettors do not have the time, patience, or inclination to hypothesize, test, analyze, retest, and apply sports betting systems. This is why most sports bettors lose over the long haul. There are professionals who do have systems in place and are happy to share those systems with anyone who thinks they have what it takes to follow the system. You MUST have a system in place that keeps you on the winning path. Betting random games night in and night out without proper research is no formula for success. It is fun, but it is a money loser and that is not why you are here. You are here to become a winner. Remember, you will lose some nights. You will lose and losing is not fun. With a sports betting system in place that has been proven to win, over the course of your investment you will make money. How much you make and how often is entirely up to you applying discipline and consistency to your sports betting systems.

Think like the bookmaker. It has been said that books are only concerned with having an equal amount of bets placed on both sides of the same game. That way, with the vigorous factored into the game, the bookmakers earn a small profit regardless of who wins the game. This is a half truth. Yes, this is one way books make money. If you think that books won’t bait you into thinking a line is too good to be true, knowing that you, the general betting public, will pounce on that bet (a sucker bet or a trap bet) I have a bridge in San Francisco to sell you CHEAP. The real money for the bookmakers is in those games that are bet heavily on one side (and subsequently lost) by the general public. If a line is too good to be true it probably is. The bookmakers know the public loves the favorite. They also know more about tonight’s games than you could possibly research. They know you don’t have the discipline to stop while you are ahead (or down for that matter). They know you have no clue what sports betting systems give you an advantage. They also know that you think like an amateur bettor. This is precisely why you are not making money.

In my betting career one of the affirmations I would continuously rehearse was to never, ever think like the general betting public. Zig when others zag. It became so much more than just that but it was a start. The next thing is to trust the individuals who have paved the path before you. Put a system in place and follow it with precision and accuracy. Those sports betting systems exist and are being used every day. Over time, you will win. Winning translates into profits. Start winning and you will be able to do things in your life you couldn’t have dreamed of before. People every day are winning consistently betting sports. This should be you.